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A man in a Stanford University sweatshirt is lying on a grimy apricot colored blanket on Van Ness Avenue, eyes closed, mechanically putting pieces of muffin into his mouth. Realizing that he is being observed, he sits up, centers his sunglasses on his head, and reaches for a pack of Pall Malls. Timothy, 47, says he served time in a Texas hospital for the criminally insane, following a domestic violence incident. He has been banned for life from banking with Wells Fargo after getting into a disagreement with a teller; Bank of America is also off limits, after he got into a disagreement with a manager who insulted him in Hebrew, he says. He is barred from a local shelter for getting into yet another disagreement, this one with someone who stole his divers watch. He is on probation for attacking a health worker in the San Francisco Veterans Administration hospital. He was recently in jail for brandishing a loaded BB gun in a Red Lobster restaurant. At present, however, he is affable and well spoken. Asked why he doesnt move to a cheaper housing market, where his $1,100 monthly VA benefits and eligibility for a large VA home loan would go far, he responds: Because I this place!San Francisco is an international, tolerant, peace loving community that is often imitated but never duplicated. He appreciates the leeway given him for his lifestyle. If I lay down like this in Fremont? he asks rhetorically, referring to a city across the East Bay.
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Is this our goal?Iow, stated broadly, Cornucopians are maintaining that if we just wait for the rest of the world to catch up to western style materialism something Im sure business would the global birth rate will conveniently settle on just the right population number. Thus it essential becomes a plea for a century long delaying gamble. In the meantime, the earth will foot the bill. However, its also in line with free market solutions if costs are reflected in prices and low government interferenceboth ideas compatible with the US political right. You say the curve cant be bent after 2070, but that makes no sense since the curve is being bent. Small reductions in fertility lead to significant changes in population. I reference again:And, as I have pointed out before, the rate of decline of the population has effects far beyond a naive calculation of reduction in consumption. First, and perhaps too obvious for people to realize, every billion that doesnt get born is a billion that doesnt starve to death in a drought, or become refugees, or part of a war see Syria, multiplied many times when resources are dwindling. More important, it is also the case that the demographic transition and the energy transition are mutually reinforcing. You get much more CO2 reduction and other environmental harm reduction than with either alone. Ive given examples in the past; heres another one related to current developments: Plug in 1.